Miami at Indiana

The Indiana Pacers had the Miami Heat in a tough spot, but the Heat rose to the occasion, winning the last two. They won Game 5 in resounding fashion, as they dominated from start to finish on their way to a blowout win, scoring 115 points in the process. The Heat shot a blistering 61% for the game, and that has the public salivating to grab them to close this series out in Indiana. That hasn't worked very well for teams in this spot in the playoffs prior to the Heat’s offensive gem. A team often looks invincible when the shots are going down, but coming back is another story. Teams that have shot over 60% in a playoffs game, coming back in their next game vs. the same team have been 0-7 ATS! The reason is pretty simple - clubs that had that poor a defensive game, come back with the "A" game defense in the next contest. Miami has converted just 4 of their last 15 on the road vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Play on Indiana. Clubs that had that poor a defensive game, like Indiana did in Game 5, come back with the "A" game defense in the next contest. And although Indiana gave up 115 points to the Heat in Game 5, their defense is pretty good - especially at home. Indiana has held playoff opponents to just 88 points per game. The Heat enter this game at 24-6 to the UNDER in their last 30 games on a single day of rest and has kept their opponents to only 84.8 points per game. Also, when facing a winning team this season, Miami is 29-17 UNDER and over the past two seasons the Heat are 29-10 UNDER after a game they won by 20+ points. The Pacers have followed a double-digit loss with 70% UNDERs in their last 10, and both of these teams are 60% to the UNDER in the playoffs. Play on Indiana and take the UNDER.