Miami at Indiana

The Indiana Pacers took control of the series with an upset win in Game 2 in Miami and now hold the home-court advantage. Miami looked a lot like Boston did in their Game 2 vs. Philadelphia, playing with the appearance they could beat them just by showing up. We all saw what happened in Game 3 when Boston came in with their game faces on, and blew out the 76ers rather easily to make a huge statement in reclaiming control of the series. The Heat will be in a nasty mood tonight. When they are, their "A" game trumps that of the Pacers home or away. The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a playoffs favorite, and are now 5-1 ATS following an ATS loss. It is an NBA Championship or bust for Miami, so tonight we will see them at their best, and when they dig in on the defensive end they are tough to score on. The Heat are now 7-0 to the UNDER when playing a team over .600 in their last seven, and an eye-opening 23-5 to the UNDER on a day of rest. The Pacers have played six straight to the UNDER in conference semifinals games, with the UNDER taking charge in four of the last five played in Indiana. Miami has also taken four of the last five here ATS. Play Miami and the UNDER.