This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:48PM ET.
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Miami at Detroit

May 25, 2006
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

What happened in game one? Detroit looked as bad as they did in a few of those Cleveland losses. They just can't seem to put together multiple dominating performances this postseason. No worries. They are due for a great one here. No one knows like these guys that they can't afford to make the trip to Miami down 0-2. They aren't happy with their game one performance and I expect them to come out fired up here as they have in other important games off a loss this postseason. I am chalking game one's result, in part, up to the fact that Miami was off 5 more days rest/prep. That edge is gone now and if there's one thing that you can count on in the NBA playoffs, it's adjustments. Results from one game to the next usually change. Detroit will not shoot 37.8% from the field again. Heck, they averaged 46% on the season so that's just not going to happen a second time in a row. Neither will their 5-21 performance from 3-point land. Nor will Miami shoot 56% from the field again. Miami averaged 46% on the road this season and Detroit held opponents to 44% at home. I hand it to Miami for a great game one but to put together two performances like that, in a must-win game for Detroit, seems highly unlikely. Pistons bounce-back here.

2 units on Detroit -6.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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