Miami at Detroit

The Pistons’ defense can never be questioned, but this year, the offense is just as weak as the defense is good. They rank just 29th in points scored offensively, their lowest ranking in memory. It has made life difficult against the better teams. The Pistons sport just a 1-6 ATS record at home when listed as a favorite against a team with a winning record on the season, and are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 at home. The Heat have been producing winners as they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14, and in a game that is typically ugly and low scoring, the points look good here and I'll back the Heat.