Miami at Denver

The Denver Nuggets put together some strong teams over a five year period from 2008-2012. They became one of the top home courts in the NBA, going 205-55 SU. The team began to decline, and with it their home court no longer had any advantage, in fact it has been a disadvantage. Since the start of the 2013 season, the Nuggets have been below .500 at home at 62-69 SU. More importantly they have been a woeful 57-73-1 ATS, and just 26-37 ATS as a home favorite (13-26 ATS to a line of more than -4). The Heat have not played well enough to win, but since election day, they have lost just one game on the road by more than seven points, and have been competitive. Play the visiting Heat.