This pick was released to clients on June 04, 2023 at 11:44AM ET.
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Miami at Denver

June 4, 2023
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Denver was expected to be a little rusty after a long layoff between the conference final and the NBA Finals, but the Nuggets came out firing and led by nine at the end of the first quarter and by 17 at halftime. The Nuggets shot 51 percent and Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray combined for 53 points. Miami obviously suffered a letdown after a grueling seven-game series against Boston, but now the Heat have to contend with a Nuggets' team that has a game under their belts after not playing for nine days and they are 43-7 at home and 32-18 ATS. Game 1 stayed UNDER by 21.5 points and Miami has gone UNDER five games in a row and Denver is 5-2 UNDER its past seven games. The Nuggets are 13-6-1 UNDER following a win and 7-2 UNDER after winning by double digits. The Heat are 4-13 ATS playing on two days rest and 3-9 ATS after losing by at least 10 points. Denver is 9-3 ATS with two days of rest. Take the Nuggets to cover the spread as the NBA Finals Game of the Year and the UNDER as a Max Play.

2 units on Denver -8.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 216.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat img
26
25
24
36
111
Denver Nuggets
23
34
26
25
108
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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