This pick was released to clients on February 29, 2024 at 12:04PM ET.
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Miami at Denver

February 29, 2024
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

These two are meeting for the first time since the NBA Finals when Denver beat the Heat in five games, and the Nuggets are on a four-game win streak after defeating Sacramento 117-96 on Wednesday night. Jamal Murray scored 32 points and the Nuggets overcame a 15-point second-quarter deficit and eventually built a 32-point lead. Miami is playing its sixth consecutive road game and third in four days and the Heat have won five in a row. Miami has gone UNDER 22 of its past 28 games and stayed UNDER by 10 points in its win over Portland on Tuesday. Denver has gone UNDER six of nine, including by 14.5 points against the Kings. The Nuggets are 10-3 UNDER as favorites and 41-20-2 UNDER following a win. Miami is 15-3 UNDER playing with one day of rest. Denver is 23-5 straight up at home. Take the Nuggets on the moneyline as a Max Play, and bet this game to stay UNDER.

2 units on Denver -182 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.1)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 214 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
20
31
19
27
97
Denver Nuggets img
36
20
27
20
103
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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