Miami at Denver

The Denver Nuggets when through 15 of 16 games of scoring 100 points or more, but in their last three have been limited to 94.7 points. That includes an overtime contest in their last one. The Miami Heat have only reached the century mark in two of their last 12 games, and has seen 12 of their last 18 games make it OVER the top of the total. I think the total appears to be a bit overdone here, as the Nuggets appear to be in a bit of an offensive slump compared to where they were a week ago. Miami is going to force them into more of a half court game. The Heat are 5-0 to the UNDER after scoring 100+ in their previous game, and have played six of their last seven on the road UNDER the total. The Nuggets have delivered on the OVER in just two of their last eight vs. the East. Make the play on the UNDER in this one.