Miami at Dallas

Dallas has gone UNDER all six games it has played this season, and Miami is 4-1 UNDER its last five games and has held opponents under 100 points in four of its six games. The Mavericks have stayed UNDER by an average of 21.5 points their last three games, including an ugly, 106-75 loss at Denver while shooting only 29.5%. Dallas is averaging 98.3 points per game while allowing 103.0, and the Heat are giving up 97.0 points. Dallas is 20-8 UNDER in its last 28 home games, 21-5 UNDER as an underdog, and 9-1 as a home dog. Take the UNDER.