Miami at Dallas

Dallas, winners of 4 of the last 5 against the spread in this series, have won 12 straight overall. They are driving hard to catch Detroit and they also see their record 14-game winning streak in sight. Not only are they winning games but they are doing so in convicing fashion, having covered 10 of their last 12 ATS. The Mavs are 15-4 ATS vs. winning teams this season and 9-0 vs. cream of the crop teams like Miami. Miami's offensive juggernaut will hit the brick wall Dallas defense and something must give. Sure, Miami will score, but Dallas is so balanced that they will score enough to win and cover this number. I like the Mavericks for one star.