This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:27PM ET.
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Miami at Chicago

April 30, 2006
img1:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We were on the OVER in game two in this sereis and easily won. We were on the OVER again in game two and missed it by one point as the teams both missed several easy shots at the end of the game and the Bulls could simply run out the last 20 seconds without shooting given their big lead. Shaq's surprisingly horrible game is what really screwed us on that one and there's no way he puts together back-to-back games like that. Despite that game missing the OVER, these teams are scoring in droves. Game three was 199 points, game two was 223 and game one was 217. The two teams met at the end of the regular season and put up 210. In all four games, at least one team scored 106 or more points. This matchup smells like an OVER every time as Chicago's offensive strength (perimiter shooting) is Miami's weakness and Miami's offensive strength (pounding the ball in) is Chicago's weakness. Shaq is gonna come back with a vengeance here as he has heard for two days about how bad he played. It was one of the worst playoff showings of his career and this guy has pride. The Heat scored 90 in that game after averaging 113 points in the first two games. Which do I think is more likely today? 100+. And, Chicago will get theirs as they have in all three games so far. They are hitting 48% from the field. Miami shot 48% in game one and 52% in game two followed up by 42% in game three. Miami bounces back and plays hard and both teams go over 100 as this game goes OVER the total.

3 units on Game Total OVER 201 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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