This pick was released to clients on April 21, 2024 at 10:25AM ET.
img NBA

Miami at Boston

April 21, 2024
img1:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami was able to get by Chicago without Jimmy Butler, but now the Heat have to face Boston, which is in revenge after losing to them in the 2023 playoffs and the Celtics finished with the NBA's top record. The Celtics are #2 in points per game and #5 in points allowed and they won 37 of 41 home games with a 22-17-2 ATS mark. Boston has won seven of its past nine games and it is 17-8-3 ATS its past 28 games as a favorite. The Celtics are 8-3-2 ATS their past 13 home games, 7-2 ATS in first round games and 4-0-1 ATS as home favorites of at least 11 points. Miami is 47-35-0 UNDER and five of the past seven meetings have gone UNDER. Boston is 11-4 UNDER after scoring more than 125 points its previous game and the Heat are 19-7 UNDER on the road and 15-5 UNDER as road underdogs. Boston won all three meetings this season and the last one went UNDER by nine points on Feb. 11. Take the Celtics and the first half and the game to stay UNDER as Max Plays.

2 units on Boston -13.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 107.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 210 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
21
24
14
35
94
Boston Celtics img
26
34
31
23
114
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NBA picks and predictions.

Join 409,390 Subscribers!