Memphis at San Antonio

Memphis is off a grueling 2OT win over Seattle. In that game 260 points were scored. But in the five prior to that, the Grizz have averaged 181 total points per game! San Antonio's defense is looking like, well, the Spurs defense of old. They allowed 106 to the high-scoring Lakers back on December 10th but outside that game, they have held their last six opponents to 82.7 ppg. Memphis is 0-4 scoring 85.7 ppg in division games this year while the Spurs have stepped up their defense vs. division opponents. The Grizz know that their only shot here (a very long one) is to slow the game down and not get into a shootout. But San Antonio knows their best shot is to score as they have been. They have put up 102 ppg at home this season and they have gone OVER more times than not. Despite Memphis' bad offensive play, they still have gone OVER 4 out of the last 5 and six of the last eight because their totals get posted too low. We look for this game to go OVER the total.