Memphis at San Antonio

At this point it seems nearly inevitable that we will see a number 1 seed fall to a number 8 seed. If we do, it will be just the second time in NBA history that this has happened in a best-of-seven series. Memphis has come out with no fear and has taken a 3-1 lead in the series. Two of the games have gone OVER and two UNDER. This one I see sailing over 189 points. When the series opened in this building ten days ago, the fair total was set at 196 (and that game went OVER). So the same teams, playing in the same building, now face a total with 7 full points shaved off. That's not right. The Spurs are 48-38 OVER in all games on the season and 28-19 OVER following a game that went OVER. They are also 39-19 OVER the past three seasons revenging a loss. Under Gregg Popovich, this team is 94-67 OVER following a double-digit loss. Versus winning teams this season, Memphis is 28-18 OVER. Take the OVER here.