This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:13PM ET.
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Memphis at San Antonio

April 16, 2005
img8:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Duncan's back. The Spurs were in an extremely difficult scheduling spot on Wednesday night when they lost outright at Utah as an 8-point road favorite. San Antonio was playing their fourth game in five nights without rest after back-to-back double overtime games during the past weekend. The game also involved the sudden return of Tim Duncan back to the lineup and teams usually struggle in their first game when an All-Star returns from injury. Look for a more focused effort by the Spurs this evening as they are still trying to catch Phoenix for the best record in the league. San Antonio has an extremely strong home court edge where they are 37-3 SU this season with an average win by +12.4 points per game. The Spurs will also be focused as they lost the first two meetings versus Memphis this season. The Spurs now qualify in a solid 81-44 ATS home revenge situation based on those previous two SU losses as a favorite. Memphis is coming off a poor effort last night in Denver where they never led and trailed by 19 points at halftime. Memphis is now 0-3 SU/ATS on their current road trip and the Grizzlies have trailed by an average margin of -21 points per game. One star on the Spurs in a big win.

1 unit on San Antonio -9.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
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