Memphis at Sacramento

Memphis hasn't won at Arco Arena in 14 tries and come into this one averaging just 84 PPG over their last five. But, they score 89 per game on the road on average and allow 90 per game. Sacramento has also struggled offensively of late but theydo average 101 per game at home while allowing 99. And, given Memphis' struggles here, I expect their defense to give up more than normal tonight. Memphis is well rested and games with a total between 170 and 179.5 or less and a well-rested team (4 or less games in 10 days) coming off a road loss by 10 points or more have gone OVER 72% of the time (56-22) since 1996. Sacramento has gone UNDER three games in a row, further pushing this total down but they are 8-0 OVER following 3 UNDERS over the past three seasons. One star on the OVER here.