Mike Conley is out, but I still like the Grizzlies to complete the sweep tonight with others stepping up. The Grizzlies have dominated in this series, winning by an average of 12 points per game. They are 30-18 straight-up this season vs. winning teams, including 8-3 on the road vs. teams at .600 or better. They are also 35-19 this season vs. good offensive teams like Portland (teams averaging 99+ per game). As a moneyline favorite of -155 to +135, the Grizzlies are 16-8 straight-up. Portland is fading fast, having gone just 2-9 in April. They are also 13-18 this season following a loss. Memphis is 49-36 to the first-half UNDER this season, including 29-15 when the total is in the 95.5 to 100.5 range. When facing up-tempo teams (those averaging 83+ shots per game), Memphis is 27-16 UNDER in the first-half this season. The Grizzlies are also 21-7 UNDER in their last 28 games this season when facing a team that averages 99+ points per game. They are also 9-1 UNDER off an underdog upset win. Portland is 35-22 UNDER this season as a favorite. Take Memphis, the first-half UNDER, and the full-game UNDER here.
This pick was released to clients on April 27, 2024 at 11:22AM ET.
NBA
Memphis at Portland
April 27, 2015
10:35 PM Eastern
1 unit on Memphis +140 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.4)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 96 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 192 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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