Memphis at Phoenix

Neither team is off to the start they expected. Phoenix still playing at a frenetic pace, and Memphis is the antithesis, so something has to give here. Phoenix, because of the high scoring games, usually has to give up a very liberal pointspread in its home games, and that certainly has worked against them in the past. Two years ago when they decided to put the pedal to the metal, they were just 10-14 ATS as a double digit home favorite. Last year, as teams became accustomed to what they were all about, that mark dropped even further to 3-8 ATS. That means the run and gun offense has not been very good in these kind of situations, as it has failed to cover this number in 22 of 35 tries. Memphis has not been a double digit road dog for a longtime, but has covered their last three in that situation. A good situation for Memphis here is they have been very good against teams that allow a lot of points. When they play a team that has allowed 100+ in its last game they are 64-31 ATS! Meanwhile, the Suns don't seem to show up for teams that aren't playing well. They are just 25-61 ATS vs sub .400 teams. Memphis has handled Phoenix on the road, covering all 4 games the past two years and 5 of the last 6, and actually winning two of them outright as a dog. Looks like we have a live dog with the Grizzlies.