This pick was released to clients on September 20, 2012 at 2:51PM ET.
img NBA

Memphis at Orlando

April 7, 2007
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Phoenix three times, Utah, San Antonio and Dallas twice, Houston and Cleveland. You are probably wondering what all that means. Memphis has been a double-digit underdog to all of those teams. Add in both Golden State and the Lakers and that is all of them. So how does Orlando look among those games that include nine games against division leaders, and 13 of 14 with winning records? It just doesn't fit. Yes, Memphis is at the bottom of the league but if the season started with the last 39 games, guess what? Orlando is 12-27 and Memphis is 10-29 – just two games behind. When is that worth 12 points in a game? Memphis has lost a lot of games for sure, but they have been very competitive in this situation against far greater competition. They stand at 10-4 as a double-digit dog. Orlando isn't exactly playing at a high level as they have dropped 3 of 4 games and two of those losses have been to teams with losing records. The last three times Orlando played in a game with a double-digit point-spread they were getting the points as a team that has been 12-27 should! Orlando has not responded well after a close loss at home. They have been 3-23 ATS after a home loss by three points or less, and 1-5 this year. They are also only 10-22 as a favorite. Memphis stays close in this one.

5 units on Memphis +12 (-110) (risk 5 to return 9.55)
Result:
LOSS
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NBA picks and predictions.

Join 409,400 Subscribers!