Memphis at Oklahoma City

Memphis did the unthinkable by beating San Antonio in round one. It's only the second time that an NBA 7-game series has seen an eight seed topple a top seed (Golden State in 2005). Now they travel to Oklahoma City to play a rested Thunder team that took care of Denver pretty quickly. I think the going is going to be much tougher for the Grizzlies, at least in this opening game. They will have to find an answer for Durant and Westbrook and I don't see that happening in the opening game. Memphis is a solid team, but let's not forget that they are just 17-27 on the road this season, scoring 97 points per game. How will they keep up with the 107 per game that OKC gets at home? Over the past couple of seasons, the Thunder is 54-39 ATS vs. winning teams including 44-30 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Grizzlies beat Oklahoma City the last time out and the Thunder is 47-28 ATS the past two seasons revenging a loss. I like OKC to win big here. I also like the OVER. The Thunder average 107 points per game in this building and their defense is nothing to write home about (allowing over 100 per game even at home this season). When playing a winning team this season, Memphis is 30-18 to the OVER. As a favorite this season, OKC is 36-24 to the OVER. That includes a 14-6 OVER mark as a home favorite in this range (6.5 to 9 points). Take OKC and the OVER here.