Memphis at Milwaukee

Both teams are struggling but I like the Grizzlies here. Their defense is holding opponents to 86 PPG on the season and Milwaukee is no offensive powerhouse. Memphis hasn't played in three days and when playing on 2+ days rest this year, they are 20-6 ATS. Home underdogs off a low-scoring game where both teams scored 90 points or less facing an opponent after a combined score of 175 points or less are just 21-50 (30%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. And, road favorites that score under 92 PPG facing a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) are 25-4 (86%) over the last 5 seasons. Two stars on the Grizzlies laying the small number.