Memphis at Milwaukee

Seems like a good situation for Memphis to end their 3-game skid against the cellar-dweller Bucks, right? I mean Milwaukee has lost seven straight, right? Wrong. I look for an upset Milwaukee win tonight. Since the all-star break, the Bucks are actually 6-1 ATS at home when facing a winning team and 7-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season. This is the typical time for the Memphis collapse as they are 5-15 ATS over the last three seasons during April. Milwaukee, behind Michael Redd, has found some offense recently. I expect them to step up the defense enough tonight to get the cover and possible the straigh-up "W". Two stars on Milwuakee plus the points.