This pick was released to clients on September 13, 2012 at 6:35PM ET.
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Memphis at Houston

November 25, 2006
img8:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Memphis is one of those bad teams that seems to hang around in games, and Houston is one of those good teams that seems to let teams hang around in games. These teams are certainly likely to be 10 points apart in talent on Houston's court, but things don't work that way. Memphis is still looking for that first road victory of the year. The one thing that stands out is they are not giving up, they are not getting blown out and they hang around in every game. There has not been a game of the six losses in which this line would bring in money on the home team! We went back and looked at last year as well, and Memphis has only lost by more than 10 on the road 8 times now in 48 tries, or 17% of the time. Houston won big in their first home game of the year vs. Dallas, but since has not beaten anyone by more than 10. Like Memphis, they have just 8 home wins by more than 10 in their last 48. So we have a team that seems to hang around and keep it close, visiting a home team that seems to let teams hang around, so we will take the generous points and ride the Grizzles.

2 units on Memphis +10 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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