img NBA

Los Angeles at Utah

May 9, 2008
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There isn't a hotter offense left standing right now than the LA Lakers. Playoffs or not, this team has one speed: fast! They have now scored 100+ in their last 16 games, and are they are averaging 112.6 ppg during this offensive surge. The defense allowed 101+ a game this season, and Utah does one thing well at home vs teams that give up points, they score big. Utah averaged 112.5 ppg at home vs teams that allowed 100+. These teams have played OVER in 11 of their last 16 meetings, and game thee of the conference semi's has the history of being the highest scoring game of any in the round. Utah's offense clicks in this situation, and LA is simply a scoring machine over the past month. We will ride the OVER here. We'll also back Utah to cover. They were simply the best home team in the league this season, bar none. They lost just four games here during the regular season and went 29-13 ATS, averaging 108.2 ppg including 10-2 ATS as a favorite of 6 or less points. In what is an absolute must-win, we will see their top effort. They were 12-4 ATS this season at home vs. teams that make 36%+ of their three pointers and 15-5 ATS here vs. teams that allow 100+ ppg. They were also 24-14 ATS vs. teams that score 100+ per game. Utah and the OVER here.

3 units on Utah -4.5 (-115) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
T
Los Angeles Lakers
23
20
29
27
99
Utah Jazz
23
29
27
25
104
odds odds
 
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