Los Angeles at Utah

The Lakers are average on both sides of the ball while Utah is all about low-scoring games. LA is without Kobe again but these teams combined for 192 in the same situation on New Years. Games with a poor three point shooting team (<33%) that rebounds very well (+5.5 reb/game) against a good 3PT defense (<33%) with average rebounding (+/-3 reb/game) have gone OVER 90% of the time (27-3) over the past five seasons. Utah is 31% from beyond the arc and +5.9 rebounds per game while LA plays good perimeter defense and is average on rebounding. This total is set too low and I like it to go OVER. One star on the OVER.