This pick was released to clients on April 16, 2024 at 11:36AM ET.
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Los Angeles at New Orleans

April 16, 2024
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

New Orleans won't have to wait long to avenge Sunday's 124-108 loss to Los Angeles, which gave the Lakers the eighth seed heading into the play-in tournament. The Lakers are unlikely to shoot 55 percent, as they did in the regular season finale, and the Pelicans lost despite having seven scorers in double figures. New Orleans is 45-36-1 UNDER this season and I look for the Pelicans to clamp down defensively after allowing three 20-point scorers for Los Angeles. The Pelicans are 21-9 ATS following an ATS loss and 13-5 ATS after any loss. New Orleans is 21-7-1 UNDER as an underdog of 0.5-4.5 points and 8-2-1 UNDER as a dog overall. The Lakers are 3-9 ATS as road favorites and 1-9 ATS as road favorites of 0.5-4.5 points. Take the Pelicans to cover, and play the UNDER.

1.5 units on New Orleans -1 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 225.5 -113 (risk 1.5 to return 2.83)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Lakers img
26
34
23
27
110
New Orleans Pelicans
34
16
26
30
106
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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