Los Angeles at Miami

This is actually a good matchup for the L.A. Lakers, a team that still has size inside despite the loss of Pau Gasol. They face a small Miami frontcourt that is 30th in the NBA in rebounding. Dwight Howard is back on the court and teams with 6-10 Earl Clark on a team that is third in the NBA in rebounds. Los Angeles has won four of its last five games (3-2 ATS). Howard is familiar with Miami after eight seasons with the Orlando Magic in the Southeast Division and has averaged 17 points and 13.4 rebounds in his career against Miami. Miami  is not a good rebounding team and the Heat is 1-6 ATS  following a win of more than 10 points and Miami is 0-4 ATS after a spread cover. And when these teams meet the underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Play the LA Lakers.