This pick was released to clients on April 06, 2014 at 10:33AM ET.
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Los Angeles at Los Angeles

April 6, 2014
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A rivalry game at the Staples Center, so it's unusual to see one team such a big favorite. The Lakers are 4-1 in Pacific division play, 12th in the NBA in scoring, and fourth in assists. The Lakers have been playing hard, beating Phoenix on this court as a +9.5 dog, and covering against the Kings two games ago as a +8 dog. They are off a 12-point loss to Dallas, but the Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile, the Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and have some depth concerns. Jamal Crawford (achilles) and Danny Granger (hamstring) are sidelined, and coach Doc Rivers said he doesn't expect either to return before the postseason begins. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS against a team with a losing record. In addition, the Clippers play good defense, especially at home where they are on a 7-1-1 UNDER the total. It's hard to see the Clippers wanting to push the tempo with their depth concerns. The UNDER is 4-1 after the Lakers allow 100 points or more, and the Clippers are 7-0 UNDER the total at home against a team with a losing road record. Play the Los Angeles Lakers and UNDER the Total.

1 unit on Los Angeles +16 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 226 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Lakers
22
27
23
25
97
Los Angeles Clippers img
25
32
37
26
120
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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