Los Angeles at Detroit

When these two teams met on November 10, they scored 180 total points. We see a similar final score here. LA's scoring has tapered off of late and their defense has improved. Through December, this team averaged nearly 105 ppg and allowed 103 per game. In January and February things have changed dramatically. This year in 18 games they are averaging just 96 ppg and allowing 91. That's a 21 point swing! And it is working for them. Over their last ten games they are 8-2. So, we think they will stick with this slow-down, low-scoring approach. Detroit always plays excellent defense. They are allowing just 93.5 per game on the season. The Pistons are 16-4 UNDER at home the past two seasons when playing a great team (60%+ SU). They are also 12-3 UNDER at home in February the past two seasons.