This pick was released to clients on May 16, 2024 at 11:27AM ET.
img NBA

Los Angeles at Denver

May 16, 2023
img8:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Lakers have a losing road record this season and Denver is no easy place to play with the high-altitude. Los Angeles is 21-36 ATS after a double-digit win, and 38-year-old LeBron James is no longer the best player in the game. Denver has that honor in two-time MVP Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 30.7 points, 12.8 rebounds and 9.7 assists in 11 playoff contests. During the regular season, Denver's offense was 12th in points scored, No. 1 in field goal shooting, and fourth in 3-point shooting, while the defense was eighth in points allowed and third at defending beyond the arc. No. 1 seed Denver is 40-7 straight up at home along with a 29-17 spread run at home. The Nuggets are also 35-18 ATS versus winning teams and 23-12 ATS at home against teams that shoot 46-percent or better from the field. With the Lakers on a 1-5-1 spread run in this building, back the home team in Game 1. Play Denver.

1.5 units on Denver -6 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
PUSH
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Lakers
25
29
38
34
126
Denver Nuggets img
37
35
34
26
132
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NBA picks and predictions.

Join 412,084 Subscribers!