This pick was released to clients on May 16, 2024 at 11:27AM ET.
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Los Angeles at Denver

May 16, 2023
img8:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Lakers have a losing road record this season and Denver is no easy place to play with the high-altitude. Los Angeles is 21-36 ATS after a double-digit win, and 38-year-old LeBron James is no longer the best player in the game. Denver has that honor in two-time MVP Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 30.7 points, 12.8 rebounds and 9.7 assists in 11 playoff contests. During the regular season, Denver's offense was 12th in points scored, No. 1 in field goal shooting, and fourth in 3-point shooting, while the defense was eighth in points allowed and third at defending beyond the arc. No. 1 seed Denver is 40-7 straight up at home along with a 29-17 spread run at home. The Nuggets are also 35-18 ATS versus winning teams and 23-12 ATS at home against teams that shoot 46-percent or better from the field. With the Lakers on a 1-5-1 spread run in this building, back the home team in Game 1. Play Denver.

1.5 units on Denver -6 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
PUSH
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Lakers
25
29
38
34
126
Denver Nuggets img
37
35
34
26
132
consensus consensus
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