This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2024 at 12:15PM ET.
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Los Angeles at Denver

April 29, 2024
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Denver goes for a gentleman's sweep as it allowed the Lakers a win in Game 4, but now the Nuggets go back home where they are 35-8 this season and Los Angeles is 19-23-0 ATS on the road. It was the first win for the Lakers against the Nuggets in 12 games dating to December 2022. It was the first game in the series not to stay UNDER and seven of the past 10 meetings have gone UNDER. Nikola Jokic recored a triple-double despite the loss with 33 points, 14 assists and 14 rebounds. Denver is 11-5 UNDER as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and the Lakers have gone UNDER five of their past six first round games. Los Angeles is 1-7 ATS after a win of more than 10 points and 8-20 ATS its past 28 playoff games as an underdog. Denver is 17-7 ATS following a double-digit loss. Take the Nuggets and the first half to stay UNDER as a Max Play.

1.5 units on Denver -7 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 110 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Lakers
24
29
26
27
106
Denver Nuggets img
28
22
31
27
108
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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