Los Angeles at Denver

The Lakers will look to close out the Nuggets tonight in Denver. The Lake Show has completely dominated this series, winning each game by double-digits, but the Nuggets track record, and NBA playoff history, point to alternative value here. San Antonio had Dallas 3-0 winning the first three by double-digits back in 00-01, and lost game four. In 99-00, up 3-0 on Utah and winning all three by 10+, Portland lost game four. This season we have seen San Antonio lose game four after starting 3-0. The Nuggets shot the ball about as bad as they did all season long at home in game three. This is a team that went 17-5 SU vs playoff teams at home, winning 11 of the 17 by double digits, with an overall scoring margin of +7.9ppg in the 22 games. Denver was also 7-0 SU off a home loss this year, never having dropped two in a row at home all season. They also dropped three in a row on three separate occasions, and in the 4th game came back to win by 26, 16 and 42 points. We don't think this series ends here tonight. And, if it does, we expect it to be a nail-biter. The value here is on the Nuggets with the points.