img NBA

Los Angeles at Dallas

March 18, 2008
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Lakers are all of a sudden at risk of losing three straight. We think they do, and don't keep it close. They've had a rough schedule since sitting on top of the Western Conference a few days ago. They had to face New Orleans, then Houston and now Dallas with Utah on deck! Without the services of Pau Gasol, this team just isn't nearly as good. We were all over Houston last game as our Game of the Month and the Lakers lost by 12 points. Without Gasol again here, facing a resurrgent Mavs team, we see a similar result. Even before Gasol went out, there were signs of problems for LA as tehy have now lost seven of their last ten games ATS. Dallas meanwhile has won five straight SU and ATS, blowing out all comers. They love playing at home where they are 29-4, and they will be "up" for this game. The Lakers are 1-9 ATS the past two seasons off two straight road losses. They are also 4-16 ATS in March games this season and last. Dallas is 9-0 ATS the past two seasons at home after covering the spread as a double-digit favorite. We have momentum going in two completely opposite directions here and we'll take the team on the up, which is Dallas.

3 units on Dallas -5.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Los Angeles Lakers
28
31
18
25
102
Dallas Mavericks
21
17
27
35
100
odds odds
 
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