Los Angeles vs. Dallas

Los Angeles leads the series 2-1 and is favored here, but they face a talented and explosive Dallas offense. The Clippers are 58-88 ATS after allowing 120+ points the last game, as well as 2-12 ATS away from home when leading in a playoff series. Dallas is third in the postseason in points scored (119.7 per game) and second in shooting (48.8%) after being third in scoring during the regular season. The Mavericks are on a 72-52 ATS run versus winning teams, 58-35 ATS after allowing 120+ points, plus 73-52 ATS against teams that allow 106+ points per game. Look for a close one all the way and back the big, talented dog for the upset. Play Dallas on the moneyline.