This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 7:24PM ET.
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Los Angeles at Portland

March 26, 2006
img6:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Los Angeles Clippers head into Portland as 6-point favorites on Sunday. They hope their 116-point explosion last game in a win versus the Wizards was no fluke and that their defense can keep Portland in check. It likely will as the Clippers minus the points here isn't a bad play. But, we're going to look instead to the total. With the league's #30-ranked offense, Portland needs a breakout game from it's defense to keep them in this one. And they know it. The Trail Blazers average just 88.7 points per game and they are 11-22 UNDER vs. winning teams this year as their strategy against these teams is to pick up the defense. Six of the last nine meetings between the Clippers and the Trailblazers have gone UNDER the total and I see this one going that way too.

2 units on Game Total UNDER 190.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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