This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:46PM ET.
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Los Angeles at Phoenix

May 22, 2006
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We popped our first and only 5-star pick on the OVER in this matchup last game as 224 points were scored. While not making it quite as strong a play, going strong with the OVER yet again here. The average number of points scored through the first six games in this series has been 224.2. And, that includes one anomoly game - game 3 which was a 94-91 Clippers win. Outside of that one game, no less than 219 points have been scored! The last three games have seen the loser score 106+ points per game. As in other close out games, we are going to see the home team return to their roots. For Detroit and San Antonio, that's defense. For Phoenix, that's run-and-gun. And the beauty of it is, the Clippers don't mind running with Phoenix. They push it nearly as much as the Suns do. The Suns revert to running when looking to revenge a loss as they are 20-9 OVER revenging a loss over the past two seasons. They are also 12-3 OVER revenging a loss in which an opponent scored 110+ points on them. It's as if they say to themselves - "Hey! We are the ones that are supposed to be shooting the lights out. Not them! We'll show them." Games with a total of 200+ with a road team off a home win by 10 points or more facing an opponent off a road game where both teams score 100 or more points have gone OVER 26-11 (70%) over the last 5 seasons. Like this one, like the last three, to go OVER.

4 units on Game Total OVER 215 -110 (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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