Los Angeles at Minnesota

The Minnesota Timberwolves have not looked like the team they were last year. They have dropped three straight games and have slipped to .500 on the season. The good news is when a .500 team is on a three-game losing streak and playing as a home favorite, they are 35-12 SU. They are also 12-7 ATS when favored by four or fewer points. The LA Clippers are 20-15 on the season but just 2-3 in their last five games. The Clippers have been solid at home, but they are now 1-3 in their previous four on the road. The Timberwolves are allowing fewer than 108ppg at home during the season, and I like the matchup here vs. the Clippers, who have not performed well on the road. Make the play on Minnesota.