img NBA

Los Angeles at Memphis

May 13, 2012
img1:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

What a terrible spot for the Los Angeles Clippers, who had such high expectations coming into this season. They have blown a 3-1 series lead, have to fly 3,000 miles for Game 7 and their best players are banged up with serious injuries. Blake Griffin (knee) and Chris Paul (hip) are not 100% and didn't play well in Game 6. And it was a heart breaker. The Grizzlies closed Game 6 on a 22-12 run to stun the Clippers 90-88 on Friday night. Without their two main guns on offense healthy, the Clippers are toast. They are also 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games and 18-42-2 ATS in their last 62 against the NBA Southwest division. Memphis got steals, offensive rebounds and made it nearly impossible for the Clippers to score at the rim. Memphis won the rebounding edge 48-32 and outscored Los Angeles 46-40 in the paint. In Games 5 and 6, the Grizzlies’ big men combined to average 41.5 points on 53.4% shooting and 21 rebounds. When these teams meet the favorite is 5-2-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and the home team is 5-2-2 ATS in the last nine. Play the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 7. In addition, it's Game 7 so look for far more defense than offense. Memphis has played great defense all season (No. 5 in the NBA in points allowed) while the Clippers have slowed the pace down and played very good defense in this series with the teams riding a 3-1 run UNDER the total. But with Paul and Griffin, their best offensive players hurting, don't look for the Clippers to go up-tempo and the UNDER is 9-4 in the Clippers’ last 13 against a team with a winning record. Memphis is on a 17-8 run UNDER the total and the UNDER is 10-4 in the Grizzlies’ last 14 games when playing on one day of rest. When these teams meet, the UNDER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Play the Grizzlies and Game 7 UNDER.

3 units on Game Total UNDER 176.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Clippers img
16
23
16
27
82
Memphis Grizzlies
13
25
18
16
72
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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