Los Angeles at Golden State

The Los Angeles Clippers made big headlines with the addition of Chris Paul. They are getting a lot of publicity for their potential star-power and improvement and this betting line reflects that. While most "pundits" have already crowned them the new kings of LA, they have to earn that. How good are they really? We don't yet know. What we do know is that it is going to take some time for all these new parts to mesh, especially with a shortened preseason. And, thanks to all the hype, the lines on their games are likely to be a bit inflated as the public loads up on them. In fact, this is the most lopsided bet game on Christmas day with 85% jumping on LA. The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a favorite, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 against the Western Conference and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. They begin the new season on the road and face a young, up-tempo Golden State offense. The Warriors won 36 games last season while scoring 103.4 points a night behind Monta Ellis, David Lee, Andris Biedrins and, when healthy, Steph Curry. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Golden State. In addition, the home team is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these teams. The Clippers may turn out to be great but in the opener, I'm taking the home dog. Play the Golden State Warriors.