Los Angeles at Denver

The Nuggets lead the NBA in scoring (105.8 points per game) and are 7-2 at home. That doesn't bode well for the Clippers, who are 1-4 on the road and are a middle-of-the-road defensive team, giving up 95.8 points. The Clippers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of +5.0 to +10.5, including 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. The Denver Nuggets are on a roll, topping Toronto for their sixth win in a row (5-1 ATS run). The Nuggets have six players averaging double-digit points, led by forward Danilo Gallinari (17.9). The Nuggets are 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 home games, 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games against a team with a losing road record. And the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these clubs. Play the Denver Nuggets. In addition, there will be less scoring than oddsmakers expect. The UNDER is 19-7 in the Clippers last 26 games against a team with a winning record while the UNDER is 6-2 in the Nuggets last eight home games, 15-7-2 UNDER the total in their last 24 games playing on one day of rest. Denver is all about up-tempo, but the oddsmakers know that, too. The UNDER is 7-0 in the Nuggets last seven vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1 UNDER the total in Denver's last seven games as a home favorite. Finally, when these teams meet the UNDER is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. Play the Nuggets and the UNDER.