This pick was released to clients on February 09, 2015 at 10:11AM ET.
img NBA

Los Angeles at Dallas

February 9, 2015
img8:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Clippers were embarrassed on national TV yesterday, getting blown out at Oklahoma City. This team is third in the NBA in points scored and well coached. It was their worst loss of the season. After holding Toronto to 19 first-quarter points in building an early 15-point lead Friday, Los Angeles has allowed 235 points in its last seven quarters. Expect a monster-defensive effort here as one player remarked today, "We've got to be consistent on defense, no matter who's out there. All it takes is effort." The UNDER is 9-3 after the Clippers allow 100 points or more in their previous game. DeAndre Jordan has averaged 16.4 points and 15.2 rebounds in his last five against the Mavericks, four of which the Clippers have won. This is a good matchup for the Clippers as Dallas is banged up, too, and weak on defense at 23rd in the NBA in points allowed and 26th at defending the three-pointer. Dallas guard J.J. Barea has struggled offensively since taking over starting duties with Rajon Rondo hurt, shooting 34.0 percent in four games. The Mavericks are 1-4-1 ATS at home and 5-16-1 ATS against the Western Conference. Dallas is on a 9-3 run UNDER the total, including 5-1-1 UNDER at home. The road team is 4-1 ATS and Los Angeles has won four of the last five meetings straight up, so the value is for a defensive game and for the dog to pull the upset. Play the Los Angeles Clippers on the moneyline and the game UNDER the total.

0.5 unit on Los Angeles +365 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 2.33)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 208.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Clippers img
32
34
28
21
115
Dallas Mavericks
31
22
27
18
98
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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