This pick was released to clients on April 26, 2024 at 10:03AM ET.
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Los Angeles at Dallas

April 26, 2024
img8:18 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Dallas evened the series at one game apiece with a 96-93 win on Tuesday and the teams went UNDER for the ninth time in 10 meetings. Los Angeles shot just 37 percent and went 8-for-30 on 3-point tries and the game stayed UNDER by 27.5 points. Luka Doncic scored 32 points and the Mavericks won despite the return of Kawhi Leonard, who had 15 points for the Clippers. The teams combined for only 86 points in the first half and the Mavericks uncharacteristically have had to rely on their defense lately as they have gone four games without scoring 100 points. Dallas has covered the spread seven of eight at home and it is 18-6 ATS following a win. The Mavericks are 20-7 ATS as favorites of 0.5-4.5 points and 11-3 ATS versus teams with winning records. Dallas is 20-5-1 UNDER at home against teams that have a .600 win percentage on the road. Take the Mavericks as a Max Play and the first half UNDER and a Max Play and also the full game to go UNDER as a Max Play.

2 units on Dallas -4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 104 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 211.5 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Clippers
23
18
26
23
90
Dallas Mavericks img
18
36
24
23
101
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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