Indiana vs. Miami

Indiana is obviously in a desperate situation being down 3-0 in the series, and the Heat will have to cool off after shooting the lights out in the first half of Saturday's game. Miami made 11 3-pointers before the intermission, and the game went OVER by 25.5 points. Look for the Pacers to come out swinging in this one as they have shot well the first three games, but the defense has been lacking. The Pacers have covered six of eight following a loss, and Miami is 8-20 ATS after an ATS win. The OVER is 16-6 in Indiana's last 22 games following a loss, and the OVER is 23-8 in the Heat's last 31 games after a win. Also, Miami is 24-10 OVER playing with one day of rest and 11-5 OVER as a favorite. Look for Indiana to extend the series. Play the Pacers on the moneyline and the OVER.