Indiana at Washington

You need defense to survive in the playoffs and Washington has it, ranked ninth in the NBA in points allowed during the regular season. They are also playing great basketball, on a 10-2 ATS run, plus the Wizards 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one days rest. They took it on the chin in Game Three, but have home court again for this key clash. Atlanta showed a weakness with Indiana by driving the lane for shots, plus dishing off to open players along three point land. Washington can do that with John Wall (8.8 assists per game) driving and dishing off to Ariza and Bradley Beal, both outstanding long range shooters. Indiana is on 15-36-1 ATS run, and the Pacers are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games following a win. In addition, this will be a defensive game with so much at stake. Indiana prefers as slow pace, and the Pacers are 4-0-1 UNDER the total on the road, while the UNDER is 5-1 in the Wizards last six vs. a team with a winning record. And when they meet, the UNDER is 5-1 in the Wizards last six vs. a team with a winning record. Play the Wizards and the Pacers/Wizards UNDER the total in Game Four.