This pick was released to clients on May 09, 2014 at 10:17AM ET.
img NBA

Indiana at Washington

May 9, 2014
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Indiana Pacers cruised through the early part of the season, but then hit the wall. The team seems to be disjointed, and the locker room is anything but pleasant. They are a #1 seed, and have played against a pair of teams seeded in the second half of all seeds, but are just 5-4 in the playoffs. Roy Hibbert delivered 28 points, and 9 rebounds, in game three after coming up empty the entire playoffs. That being said, they still won by just 4 points at home, as their problems run deeper. The eye test says Washington is a far better team right now. The Pacers' offense is out of sync, so they have to rely on their defense, which is rock solid. The Wizards are averaging just 91 points per game in their last five in the playoffs. But despite that, they have won three of them and covered four of the five, so they have obviously answered the call on the defensive end themselves. While they neglected Hibbert in game three, that won't be the case tonight. The Pacers scored just 86 points despite the surprise game from Hibbert, and Washington gave him too much room, as he was not producing anything, they will take notice tonight. The Pacers are an ugly 4-22 ATS in their last 26 on one day of rest, and 6-22 ATS off a win. The Wizards are peaking at the right time and are 10-1 ATS in their last 11. Washington has played 9 of their last 13 at home UNDER the total, and four of the last five meetings between these teams have played UNDER the total. Take Washington and play the UNDER.

1.5 units on Washington -4.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 184.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Indiana Pacers img
17
17
26
25
85
Washington Wizards
17
16
12
18
63
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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