Toronto again has to bounce back from a blowout loss as it did in Game 5, but Game 7s almost always favor the home team. Since 1982, home teams are 60-12 straight-up and 42-28-2 ATS (60 percent) in a Game 7 in the NBA playoffs. DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry had another bad shooting night, making a combined 7-for-27 from the field for a total of 18 points as the Raptors shot just 36.7 percent. Paul George led Indiana with 21 points and 11 rebounds. The Pacers are 9-23 ATS their last 32 games in Toronto and the Raptors are 5-1 ATS their last six games after a loss. Five of the six games in this series have gone UNDER the total and the Pacers are 4-1 UNDER in their last five games when following a win. Look for DeRozan and Lowry to get back on track as they did in Game 5 when they combined for 48 points on their home court. Back the Raptors and the UNDER for my NBA Playoffs Round 1 Game of the Year.
This pick was released to clients on April 30, 2016 at 10:29AM ET.
NBA
Indiana at Toronto
May 1, 2016
8:05 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Toronto -5.5 (-108) (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 190 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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