Indiana at Orlando

The one thing that Orlando has established this season is a team that can shoot the ball, particularly at home. Indiana has the 5th best FG percentage defense in the league, but that has been due to their dominant defense at home, which to this point hasn't traveled well. Indiana has not had a game at home this season in which more than 191 points have been scored. The road has been a completely different story. There have been 6 road games. Outside of a game in Chicago, all the other 5 have combined totals of 202 points or more! Orlando has been the #2 shooting team in the league, connecting at over 49%. That gets even better when playing at home, as they have blistered the nets at over 52%! When you look at the road picture, and the overall picture, it appears that the #18 scoring team in the NBA playing the #5 defense, and a 190.5 total would be an easy under, as the public is buying. Orlando has struggled on the road scoring just 90 ppg, but at home they average 102 ppg. Indiana as we pointed out has played 5 of 6 OVER 202 on the road, yet at home they are completely different, as no game has seen over 191. We will go against the public, and with the true numbers, that say the value is on the OVER in this one.