For Indiana, it has been a tale of two seasons. The Pacers started off 15-13 then followed that up with multiple injuries and a 10-27 mark over their last 40 games. This has shown the most against the very good teams (.600 or better). When the Pacers were out of the gate at 15-13 they were very competitive against the NBA's best. They compiled a 6-5 SU mark, made up of 3-0 at home and 3-5 on the road, suffering just two double-digit setbacks. It has been a horror show since. The latest 10-27 slide shows a completely different picture. They are 0-5 at home and 0-9 on the road. The road shows seven of nine games lost by 11 points or more and the only two games in single-digits were against the two teams that refuse to play defense in Golden State and Phoenix. Orlando has had a season that started 16-4 they had a bad run of 8-13, and recently have been 19-7. The 8-13 run showed them going just 3-4 SU at home against sub-.500 teams winning just two by double-digits. Combining their 16-4 start and their recent 19-7 run, or 35-11 combined, shows complete dominance of these teams. They are 11-0 SU against the sub-.500 teams at home and have won all 11 by at least 11 points covering this line in every single game! The average margin in these 11 games is 18.7 points per game. There is no question where the value is in this game, and we will ride the Magic to continue their home dominance over the sub-.500 teams.
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