This line caught my eye immediately. Normally, lines at New York are around the low 200's yet, this line is at 196.5 - why? Well, the Pacers are in town and the theory is that they play more defense and score a bit less on the offensive end. Yet, against Toronto in their last game - a game the raptors played without Bosh as they will the rest of the sesaon, the total was 214. Furthermore, in the 2 times these 2 teams have met, the total has been 199 and 198 with the higher total being in New York and and the Knicks having won on the road most recently. Furthermore, the Knicks over is 7-0 when the come off a ATS win, which is indicative of this team picking up a bit of confidence in themselves to put up more points after a spread win. Couple that with being 4-1 on the over when scoring a 100 or more in the previous game and the over being 3-0 in the last 3 meeings and the over being 7-2 in Madison Square Garden of late, let's follow the trends and situation and take the over.
This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:02PM ET.
NBA
Indiana at New York
April 7, 2006
8:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 196.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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