Indiana at Minnesota

Since the benching of TJ Ford and the insertion of Roy Hibbert and Luther Head, this Pacers team has taken on new life. Head has averaged 21.8 points per game in four starts while Hibbert has added 20 per game over the same span. Ford just wasn't getting it done, scoring little and turning the ball over. He'll be back at some point but for now it's good that he's out. The T-Wolves are just 4-15 on the season here at home (19-40 ATS at home since last season) so getting two buckets against them spells value. The Pacers match up well against Minnesota, as evidenced by their 11 point win in their last matchup. The Timberwolves are just 7-20 ATS at home since last season vs. teams like the Pacers that average 18+ three-point shots per game. This season overall they are 6-15 ATS vs. teams that make 6+ long-range shots per game. I'm fading Minnesota here.